Birth Injury Marketing
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Referral economics

Most firms make this decision matter by matter, on instinct, and never model the portfolio. Put in your fee expectation, your cost to litigate, your capacity and your win-rate assumption, and this shows the expected value of each disposition — per matter and over a year.

Model one matter, then a year of them
The matter
Your figure, from your own experience
Resolution or verdict in the client’s favour
45
Experts, records, depositions, attorney time at loaded cost
Dispositions
Subject to the applicable rules of professional conduct
33
50
40
Portfolio

The link carries your inputs. Forward it and the recipient sees exactly this result.

Per matter, expected value

highest expected value disposition
Retain it entirely
Co-counsel it
Refer it out
Retain, annualised over the years to resolution
Capital at risk if you retain

Across the year

Matters above capacity
Portfolio EV — retain all, ignoring capacity
Portfolio EV — retain to capacity, refer the rest
Portfolio EV — retain to capacity, co-counsel the rest
Show the arithmetic

Why the portfolio answer differs from the per-matter answer

Capacity turns a per-matter decision into a portfolio decision. Retaining has the highest per-matter expected value but consumes capacity, so beyond the capacity limit the comparison changes. Per matter, in isolation retaining usually wins on expected value But retaining consumes capacity for years, not months Matters beyond capacity cannot be retained at all Their real alternative is zero not a smaller share — nothing So the comparison for those matters is refer or co-counsel versus decline A referral relationship built in advance is worth more than the fee split suggests
Figure 1 — the alternative to referring an over-capacity matter is not retaining it, it is declining it. That reframing is what makes deliberate referral development worth building rather than tolerating. How we build it.
What each disposition actually costs and carries.
DispositionFee shareCost carriedCapacity consumedOutcome risk
RetainAll of itAll of itYearsAll of it
Co-counselNegotiated, commonly around halfNegotiated shareSubstantial but sharedShared
Refer outA referral share under the applicable rulesScreening and handoff onlyDaysNone
DeclineNoneScreening onlyNoneNone — and the client still needs counsel

Not legal advice. Division of fees between lawyers is governed by the rules of professional conduct in each relevant jurisdiction, which in most states impose requirements including client consent and a written agreement. This model is arithmetic, not an opinion on permissibility. Have your own counsel review any arrangement.

Inputs firms most often get wrong in this model.
InputCommon errorBetter approach
Cost to litigateCounting only hard costs and omitting attorney timeInclude attorney time at loaded cost. It is the largest component and excluding it makes retaining look free.
Probability of a feeAnchoring on remembered winsUse the last ten concluded matters of similar type, including the ones nobody talks about.
Years to resolutionUsing the medianModel the mean. The tail is long in this practice area and it is where the capital is trapped.
CapacityCounting matters the firm could theoretically staffCount matters it can staff while also doing everything else it already does.

Provenance

Where every number in this tool comes from. Two categories only: measured from a cited federal dataset, or supplied by you. There is no third, and there is no industry average anywhere in it.
Input or outputOriginIf it is wrong, what breaks
Expected fee and probability of a feeYou — from your last ten concluded matters of similar typeEvery expected-value figure, proportionally.
Cost to litigateYou — including attorney time at loaded costThe retain and co-counsel figures. Omitting attorney time is the most common error, and it makes retaining look free.
Fee sharesYou — as actually negotiated, subject to the applicable rulesThe co-counsel and refer-out figures.
Capacity and matter countYouThe portfolio comparison, which is where the answer usually changes.
Expected valuesComputed — probability × fee × share − cost × shareNothing; the equations are shown.
Any view on what is permissibleNot present. Fee division is governed by the rules of professional conduct in your jurisdiction.n/a

No default in this tool is a claim. The starting values exist so the page is not blank on arrival. They are not benchmarks, they are not averages, and they describe no real firm. Replace every one of them with your own before acting on the result. See Methodology.