Referral economics
Most firms make this decision matter by matter, on instinct, and never model the portfolio. Put in your fee expectation, your cost to litigate, your capacity and your win-rate assumption, and this shows the expected value of each disposition — per matter and over a year.
The link carries your inputs. Forward it and the recipient sees exactly this result.
Per matter, expected value
- Retain it entirely
- —
- Co-counsel it
- —
- Refer it out
- —
- Retain, annualised over the years to resolution
- —
- Capital at risk if you retain
- —
Across the year
- Matters above capacity
- —
- Portfolio EV — retain all, ignoring capacity
- —
- Portfolio EV — retain to capacity, refer the rest
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- Portfolio EV — retain to capacity, co-counsel the rest
- —
Show the arithmetic
Why the portfolio answer differs from the per-matter answer
| Disposition | Fee share | Cost carried | Capacity consumed | Outcome risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retain | All of it | All of it | Years | All of it |
| Co-counsel | Negotiated, commonly around half | Negotiated share | Substantial but shared | Shared |
| Refer out | A referral share under the applicable rules | Screening and handoff only | Days | None |
| Decline | None | Screening only | None | None — and the client still needs counsel |
Not legal advice. Division of fees between lawyers is governed by the rules of professional conduct in each relevant jurisdiction, which in most states impose requirements including client consent and a written agreement. This model is arithmetic, not an opinion on permissibility. Have your own counsel review any arrangement.
| Input | Common error | Better approach |
|---|---|---|
| Cost to litigate | Counting only hard costs and omitting attorney time | Include attorney time at loaded cost. It is the largest component and excluding it makes retaining look free. |
| Probability of a fee | Anchoring on remembered wins | Use the last ten concluded matters of similar type, including the ones nobody talks about. |
| Years to resolution | Using the median | Model the mean. The tail is long in this practice area and it is where the capital is trapped. |
| Capacity | Counting matters the firm could theoretically staff | Count matters it can staff while also doing everything else it already does. |
Provenance
| Input or output | Origin | If it is wrong, what breaks |
|---|---|---|
| Expected fee and probability of a fee | You — from your last ten concluded matters of similar type | Every expected-value figure, proportionally. |
| Cost to litigate | You — including attorney time at loaded cost | The retain and co-counsel figures. Omitting attorney time is the most common error, and it makes retaining look free. |
| Fee shares | You — as actually negotiated, subject to the applicable rules | The co-counsel and refer-out figures. |
| Capacity and matter count | You | The portfolio comparison, which is where the answer usually changes. |
| Expected values | Computed — probability × fee × share − cost × share | Nothing; the equations are shown. |
| Any view on what is permissible | Not present. Fee division is governed by the rules of professional conduct in your jurisdiction. | n/a |
No default in this tool is a claim. The starting values exist so the page is not blank on arrival. They are not benchmarks, they are not averages, and they describe no real firm. Replace every one of them with your own before acting on the result. See Methodology.
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Authorship & review
- Author
- Kevin Schwaner, Founder; Chief Marketing Officer. Credentials.
- Last reviewed
- Corrections
- Found an error? Tell us and it goes in the dated corrections log, whether or not it flatters us.